Oscars 2025 • Page 3

i mean it wont win editing but if it wins director, actor, cinematography, score and potentially supporting actress and screenplay with a nomination for pearce as well, I think it could win due to pull from all the guilds and as a success in totality argument

the race is more open than it has been in recent years. there's good arguments for several movies.
anora - frontrunner since the beginning
conclave - strangely the inoffensive "everyone likes it" entertaining choice
brutalist - overall excellence with all the guilds
wicked - for the scale and leaning more with a massive success that still was "okay"
dune 2 - same argument as wicked but is closer in quality to the indie picks
emilia perez - seems like a bad movie and its fallen but the academy is more international and the international bodies seem to love this one

 

For the current GoldDerby odds:

The Brutalist is currently favorite for Best Picture
Mikey Madison is still favorite for Best Actress but her odds are going down, and Demi Moore is catching up
Adrien Brody still favorite for Best Actor
Saldana and Culkin still favorites for supporting
Conclave and Anora favorites for the Screenplay awards
Corbet favorites for Best Director
The Wild Robot still favorite best Best Animated Feature but Flow is catching up a bit

 

Not sure you can call The Brutalist the frontrunner when it almost got blanked by SAG.

 

it is on the oddsmaker sites, though it’s essentially tied with emilia perez

 

This frontrunner/golden derby/odds talk is always the most boring part of the season.

 

Finally saw Wicked. Ariana not being the favorite for best supporting actress is crazy.

 

I Saw the TV Glow doesn't seem to be getting any awards buzz. but Emilia Perez is. why is everything the worst. take me out of this timeline.

oh good, this will make planning a watch party (ie choosing which of my friends' places to do it at) a lot easier. (one of them is recovering from a leg surgery. and my house has stairs for dayssss.)

 

That is what the Oscars do. Driving Miss Daisy over Do the Right Thing, Crash over Brokeback Mountain, Green Book over BlackKklansman.

 

Ok

 

did anyone with a pulse not already know that