General Politics Discussion VIII [ARCHIVED] • Page 556

PA - 114,000.

Last update was from Delaware County, which still has 15% left to report.

 

i thought this was you

 

All I can drink as I battle this probable case of food poisoning lmao

 

Watching this Clark County presser and, uh, these questions are idiotic. This man has been perfectly clear.

 

this wont get called til saturday, huh

 

Nevada is like 85% public land you fucking moron.

 

I think once Arizona stables out they'll have no choice but to call it.

 

PA still looking good.

Based on my numbers now, even if Trump out performs Biden by 15% compared the the existing early vote totals, (i.e. I make 15% of the should-go-to-Biden votes go to trump), Biden still wins by 5000 votes.

If everything stays in line with what you'd expect (which for the last few updates, it has) Biden will win by 86k votes.

Margin could easily go past 100k if more mail in votes come in.

 

Again, no offense, but I am taking the word of the election experts and state democratic party over you.

 

550,000 ballots still to go in PA, according to Sec. of State on CNN.

 

I'm going to try and watch a movie, hopefully come back to some good news

 

The NY Times also estimates that provisional ballots could push Biden's lead by 2 points on their own.

 

The 100k number is what has been talked about by folks in the Biden campaign and the experts so that lines up with that expectation.

 

again, I already explained why their number is off and where their math went wrong

it was an easy understandable mistake to make. but they still made a mistake. turns out being part of the democratic party doesn't magically make you immune to errors

 

Late reply for a fast moving thread, but it is likely due to this: North Carolina: Trump adds support to Lumbee Tribe federal recognition bill

The Lumbee Tribe also would like to open a casino (pending a tribe referendum), which has been opposed by the Eastern Band of the Cherokee Indians (who already have a casino in the western part of the state) and I don't think the Dems in NC have been supportive of it. Robeson also went R in 2016.

 

I’m not sure we will have a clear picture or be able to confirm this today though. This process could very easily drag on into tomorrow at this point.

 

Yeah I am getting more and more confident that this is over for Trump. We are literally just on a waiting game at this point.

 

once the numbers there become very obvious, THROW THE DAMN TOWEL

 

yup. especially with Allegheny not counting votes today