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General Politics Discussion VIII [ARCHIVED] • Page 547

Discussion in 'Politics Forum' started by Melody Bot, Oct 5, 2020.

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  2. Jason Tolpin

    Trusted

    RyanPm40 likes this.
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    phaynes12 likes this.
  4. Sean Murphy

    i'll never delete a post Supporter

    Biden now up a full point in NV
     


  5. Ralson knows Nevada, follow him and you'll know what's going on.
     
  6. clucky

    Prestigious Supporter

    Going purely by PA site data (Mail in Ballots counted - mail in ballots cast), Biden is down 116226 votes, and 360966 ballots remain.

    Needs 66%. Which is well within reach

    But spoil 20% of the ballots... needs a bit over 70% which is still within reach but a lot tighter
     
  7. Blainer93

    Prestigious Supporter

     
  8. clucky

    Prestigious Supporter

    NV looks good

    if Biden loses this, it'll be because he lost AZ by a hair, lost PA by a hair *and* lost GA by a hair.

    which is, of course, a repeat of 2016 where we lost WI, MI and PA by a hair

    but I think PA is probably good. and AZ should be good too. project happy thoughts.
     
  9. Blainer93

    Prestigious Supporter

    Part of me sees this happening too :( I don’t feel good about it but that could be because I woke up sick today
     
  10. TheGuyfkaFringeofLunacy

    Trusted Supporter

    Yeah I think its just a waiting game. PA is going to turn for Biden and then everything else is icing on the cake.
     
  11. radiodead

    Trusted

    I think there are more than 360k but I could be wrong
     
    RyanPm40 likes this.
  12. raaaaaaaady

    Regular

    Obviously still too early, but seeing those NV results have reduced the ole heart palpitations.
     
    Zach and sawhney[rusted]2 like this.
  13. clucky

    Prestigious Supporter

    I wish I had your confidence in PA

    Honestly, at this point it might come down to ballot spoilage and late vote arriving vote

    In a fair election, I'd say Biden is safe. But Trump has the courts.
     
  14. Grapevine_Twine

    It's a Chunky! Supporter

    Clucky is trying to give me a heart attack
     
  15. Sean Murphy

    i'll never delete a post Supporter

    yall don't need to be worrying about PA if the states where biden is leading in stay that way lol
     
    Zach, MyBestFiend, GrantCloud and 3 others like this.
  16. aoftbsten

    Trusted Supporter

    It's like when you see a spoiler for a movie and you think, "well, I guess I just need to mentally prepare myself for this" and then it happens but your reaction is still, "no fucking way did they do that!". That's my world right now haha.
     
    Matt Chylak and sawhney[rusted]2 like this.
  17. RyanPm40

    The Torment of Existence Supporter

    It was over 600k this morning
     
  18. radiodead

    Trusted

    I really haven’t read much that suggest PA is even going to be close when all is said and done so I’m curious where this “by a hair” stuff is coming from.
     
  19. Blainer93

    Prestigious Supporter

     
  20. David87

    Prestigious Prestigious

     
  21. Elder Lightning

    With metal in my bones and punk in my heart Supporter

    Is there any indication that spoilage will be anything near 20%? Isn't it normally less than 1% and high-end estimates for this year that I saw topped out at 5%, with that being highly unlikely.
     
    phaynes12 and The Black Parade like this.
  22. Elder Lightning

    With metal in my bones and punk in my heart Supporter

    Bedwetting.
     
    phaynes12 and radiodead like this.
  23. fowruok

    Trusted Supporter

    Georgia just dropped to 14,100.

    Perdue down to 49.997% (NYT).
     
  24. RyanPm40

    The Torment of Existence Supporter

    Still don't understand why Dems wanted to fight observers watching the count. Sounds like a dumbass reason to have temporarily halted the counting
     
    trevorshmevor likes this.
  25. clucky

    Prestigious Supporter

    Pennsylvania Elections - Summary Results

    lists 1715101 mail in votes for Biden, 504030 for Trump, and 20594 for JoJo. That is 2,239,725 total votes.

    Counting Dashboard

    lists 2612241 total mail in ballots cast. Note this is bit up from earlier today when it was 2600691. Presumably some new mail in votes have arrived.

    That leaves 372,516 lef
     
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