The 90th Academy Awards (March 4, 2018) TV Show

Awarding films that released in 2017, the 90th Academy Awards will once again be hosted by Jimmy Kimmel.

The nominees will be announced on Tuesday, January 23rd; the broadcast will take place on Sunday, March 4.

*DISCLAIMER*:
Unless otherwise explicitly noted therein, all listing/predictions represent what the poster thinks will be nominated/win, not what he or she thinks should be nominated/win.

 

in here

 

Putting in my prediction of the Best Picture nominees.. we'll see how close

Dunkirk
The Post
Get Out
Three Billboards
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Darkest Hour
Call Me By Your Name

 

Dunkirk
The Post
Three Billboards
Mudbound
Ladybird
The Shape of Water
Darkest Hour
The Florida Project

 

Dunkirk
The Post
Three Billboards
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
The Florida Project
Darkest Hour
Call Me By Your Name

Only going with 8, so we'll see how that turns out.

 

for the record, mine wasn’t in any sort of order and certainly wasn’t my most likely/favorite order

 

I think it’s understood that when talking about the Oscars we aren’t saying what we think should win/be nominated, but what we think will win/be nominated.

 

figured, just thought i’d clarify, ha

 

I'll add it to the OP

 

let's get this dumpster fire going

 

Well, it looks like Three Billboards is the Best Picture frontrunner now, with that SAG win. The Actors branch of the Academy is by far the biggest, if they go for it then it wins.

 

It’s not the biggest indicator for BP wins with Best Ensemble. Since 2000 nine SAG winners went on to win BP

 

yeah PGA is a much bigger indicator for BP, but that’s upsetting as far as actress and supporting actor go

 

Wasn't talking from a historical perspective, just a sheer numbers perspective. Broad support from the actors can tip a movie over the edge in years without dominant early-season frontrunners. Overwhelming support from the actors is probably what gave Spotlight the edge in 2015 (when The Big Short won the PGA and The Revenant won the DGA).

 

Three Billboards would be a throwback to the older Oscars. They haven't rewarded a truly terrible film like that since The King's Speech in 2010.

 

Damn, in a race that is teeming with great films/performances, this is shaping up to be the shittiest Oscars ever.

 

That's a huge exaggeration, I think. Way worse films than Three Billboards have been selected in the past.

 

I agree with that, for sure. I was ultimately positive on 3 Billboards, though I didn't love it. But the strength of the movies/performances that are going to be shafted is more universal than in most years, I think.

 

Hey, Pulp Fiction got beat out by Baby Boomer Nostalgia Self-Satisfaction Wankfest. Doesn't get much worse than that in terms of the quality of what lost vs. the quality of what won. Goodfellas lost to Dances With Wolves. The 90s were bad.

 

Yeah, I just gotta remember, I know what the best movies/performances were of the year. That's all that really matters. It's just ridiculous to think that any other movie deserves best picture than Get Out. If BP was made to reflect our society, there would be no other choice.

 

There are plenty.

 

I loved Get Out too, it was a great film, but Phantom Thread and Call Me By Your Name were definitely better, just to name two. But I doubt Phantom Thread is even nominated so I dunno. It's fun to try and make predictions but yeah, like you said, I don't put any stock in the actual picks.

 

I don't think Get Out was the best film of the year (though it was my #3), but it absolutely represents us as a society in 2018 better than any other film. Obviously that's not how the Oscars go, but I feel like it's how they SHOULD.

 

Idk, I never bought the idea that Best Picture should go to something emblematic of society in a given year or anything like that. It should go to the best film. I thought that this year the best film was about a British dressmaker in 1950's London; doesn't get any less representative of us as a society in 2018 than that lol.

 

My predictions (in order):

Dunkirk
Three Billboards
Lady Bird
Call Me By Your Name
Get Out
The Shape of Water
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Florida Project
Darkest Hour

Is this race as stacked as it looks? I could see any of the first six on this list winning BP and it wouldn't shock me.