General Politics Discussion (VI) [ARCHIVED] • Page 2109

lolll

 

Is he? I actually tried to find some affiliation for him before I made that post and all I could find was him shitting on Trump and with one specific quote saying you can't listen to Slipknot and also like Trump, nothing else about his leanings

 

imagine my confusion when this is one of the only times I've looked at a thread outside of the wrestling thread

Seth strikes me as a Gary Johnson guy

 

any word on when the next set of date gets in?

 

Davenport was a big place yet to report, no idea where they swing

 

IDP is refusing to say

 

Yep. He’s doing above expectations in Trump places so far. Those realignments were never gonna go Bernie or Warren but I thought maybe Bernie would bring out new voters there. Interesting.

 

It’s iffy math on 62% but I couldn’t come up with better either.

 

Are there any R to pete numbers?

 

My first take was similar. So maybe I’m wrong.

 

I have to begrudgingly admit that this reserved take by Silver over at the 538 is probably the correct one: waters are muddy

edit: appears jason scooped me

 

Not esp worried about all this, got a lot of work to do for NH and we should all pivot to that rather than gawking at Iowa’s confusing and likely ultimately-meaningless spectacle.

 

Do the individual parties have the authority to change whether we use the delegate system vs. popular vote in the primary? Obviously the electoral college in the general is a whole different thing but i'm just curious. Are there any benefits to using the delegate system in this day and age?

 

Thread

 

Apparently iowas electoral college system is like very funky

 

Yes, but at the state level.

 

I don't remember this at all

 

This is correct. Bernie is heavily favorited in NH. It’s imo his must win state. If he can win that, top 2 in Nevada and SC, then we’re looking good with Cali depending on where delegates fall.