General Politics Discussion VIII [ARCHIVED] • Page 430

Win PA. Win MI. I like the chances. Wi and Ga are backups.

 

I think it's time to re-think the whole "shy Trump voters are a myth" conventional wisdom if the polling was this wrong in Wisconsin

 

ah yeah you’re right my b

 

Trump currently up 700k so that isn't really encouraging. Wouldn't you need Biden to get 1,050,000 and Trump to only get 350,000? Thats 75%... its doable, but its very far from a sure thing.

 

Margin is down to 5.8% in the ME Senate race...

Also worth noting, Collins has dropped below 50%.

 

Realllllly hoping Wisconsin can go blue. I’d like to be proud of my state. Also, it’s 2am but I’ve got time to take another shot and finish this beer, right?

 

erggggh

 

lol remember that poll that had Biden up like 17%?

Either that pollster is terrible at their job, or fraud occurred.

 

I don't know if I'd lean "shy Trump voter" more so than "Right wing trumpbot chuds that think it's funny to lie to pollsters"

 

One thing that makes this a little better, is turnout should be better.

2016 had 414k votes, so a 70-30 win got Hillary +162k

Get that up to 500k votes, and 70-30 gives you +200k

NYT's estimate has 586k votes.

 

I am kind of worried about Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania

 

Won’t know PA or MI for a while. I think I’m gonna head for bed. It could go good tomorrow, it could go very bad. But that’s where we are at. Depressing in its own right.

Thanks for all hanging out tonight. Made it easier. Stressful. Maybe kinda better than 2016? It better than alone. Appreciate that.

 

CNN weirdly still not calling AZ? Not extremely concerned but like, wtf

 

hoping they clean up the puddles at that arena in atlanta and biden can eke out a win in georgia so we don't have to bite our nails all wk about pa....but it's looking bad. gonna come down to pa (again)

 

god we've reached the point where "elect the blandest candidate possible by a hair, while failing to gain control of the senate, and losing several seats in the house" is "good"

sleep well everyone

 

Yeah given the percentages that are still outstanding in those states it's hard to wrap my head around how Biden can come back. I know they're all mail ballots and from places that favor Biden but the raw numbers just look so damn grim.

 

PA and MI and GA are all leaning Biden, could move, but that’s the current state of the results until we know more. Tomorrow morning we will know more.

 

Add me to this camp. As sad as it is, I just don't see us coming back from this. Maybe I'm being too pessimistic though.

 

I don’t think Biden is winning as these Wisconsin numbers come in and PA looks really slim too

 

I'm not saying Biden can't come back, there are a lot of votes left to count, I'm just saying that it looks bad just in terms of the numbers at the moment and it's hard to keep reminding myself how many mail ballots are still left to count.