General Politics Discussion VIII [ARCHIVED] • Page 289

WHAT?

 

Yeah right wing Twitter especially is freaking out about him going to Minny

 

wish I could blackout until Wednesday

 

They’re freaking out about Trump going there???

 

No, Biden. Biden's going to Minny tomorrow and between that and some trafalgar poll in Michigan, they're all "OMG BIDEN MUST KNOW THEY'RE LOSING IT"

 

Ohhhhh okay. Cus I know trump is going to Minnesota too I believe tomorrow

 

The direction polls are heading in PA is not ideal. Good chance trump ends up a margin of error from victory. So. Ya.

Pennsylvania President: general election Polls

 

Also how good of a poll is Trafalgar?

 

David don’t say Minny

Say minny-soootttaaahhh

 

Trafalgar has a somewhat significant conservative bias, and are rated C- by 538.

 

Bad.

 

Today’s polls were very good in PA, probably too good actually (that Q poll was extremely good for Biden). As we get one more round or so of polls you’re going to see herding which can look like tightening. Not much evidence of tightening or any Trump momentum with 5 days to go.

 

I disagree

 

Uh ok.

 

Why do you disagree?

 

And PA is gonna be the last major set of polls from most pollsters in this race. So expect to see a wave of those in the next couple of days.


We Have A Lot Of New Polls, But There’s Little Sign Of The Presidential Race Tightening

But one way or another, the final round of high-quality, live-caller polls in Pennsylvania is likely to make a big difference to our model. Pennsylvania is by far the most likely tipping-point state. If Biden gets up to, say, a 6- or 7-point lead there, he’ll be in a much safer position overall in the Electoral College than if he gets knocked down to a 4-point lead here instead. More polling of the Keystone State is surely to come soon.

 

yep. I went up north last month and about an hour outside of the metro Trump signs were probably on 90 percent of the yards we drove by. I know the rural population makeup isn’t like the metros, but still worrisome.

 

*blinking guy gif*

But really what happened is he realized that all of this is spiraling into disinformation about Hunter being a pedo and etc and probably thinks he could be opening himself up to a lawsuit if he doesn't try to put the breaks on it lol

 

yep, I think it’s gonna be close. Honestly I wasn’t worried until today’s update about counting ballots after Election Day

 

Why.

 

Yeah I don't really see any sign of tightening in PA. Seems like Biden is sitting pretty much where he has been the past couple months there. I guess the next round of polls will show if there actually is any tightening cause I don't see any right now

 

Trump winning MN but losing Wisconsin is not a totally unreasonable scenario imo